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Zhizn Zemli [Life of the Earth] 48, no 1

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Zhizn Zemli [Life of the Earth] 48, no 1

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DOI

10.29003/m5043.0514-7468.2026_48_1/11-20

EDN TGWLLY

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Authors:

Fedorov, V.M., Frolov, D.M., Fedorova, E.V.

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climatic precession, sea level, Heinrich layers, late Pleistocene, Holocene

climatic precession, sea level, Heinrich layers, late Pleistocene, Holocene

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pp. 11–20

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Fedorov, V.M., Frolov, D.M., Fedorova, E.V., “Sea Level Fluctuations, Oceanic Sedimentation, and Climate Precession for the Last 130 Thousand Years”, Zhizn Zemli [Life of the Earth] 48, no 1, 11–20 (2026) (in Engl., abstr. in Russ.). DOI: 10.29003/m5043.0514-7468.2026_48_1/11-20.

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Sea Level Fluctuations, Oceanic Sedimentation, and Climate Precessionfor the Last 130 Thousand Years

31.03.2026

V.M. Fedorov1, PhD, D.M. Frolov1, E.V. Fedorova1
1 Lomonosov Moscow State University (Faculty of Geography)

Based on our previously performed calculations of the intensity of Earth’ irradiation at the top of the atmosphere with high spatial and temporal resolution, it has been confirmed that the sea level rise over at least the last 130,000 years (during the Eemian / Mikulino interglacial and the late Pleistocene – Holocene) is associated with warm phases of climate precession. Based on our calculations of summer/winter irradiation intensity extremes during climate precession phases in the Northern Hemisphere, the formation dates of dropstones (Heinrich layers ) have been refined. These dropstones are correlated with climate precession extremes and are recorded in ocean sediments during both interglacial and glacial periods. Sea level evolution and ocean sedimentation over the past 130,000 years are primarily determined by glacioeustatic fluctuations associated with temperature changes, which are primarily controlled by variations in the intensity of Northern Hemisphere irradiation within the climatic precession cycle. At the same time, the weak presence of a precessional cycle is noted in the benthic δ18 O stack of the orbitally tuned LR04 scheme/model, which currently forms the basis of geochronology and climatostratigraphy of Late Pleistocene and Holocene. The beginning of the next warm phase of climate precession is expected around 5,500 years AD. This phase will peak around 11.5 kyr AD, when the next significant sea level rise is expected.

References

Список литературы

Список литературы

  1. The winters of the world: Earth under the Ice Ages. Ed. by Brian S. John, David and Charles, Newton Abbot, Wiley. 1979.
  2. Copernicus, Nicolaus. De Revolutionibus Orbium Coelestium [On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres]. Norimbergae: apud Ioh. Petreium, Nürnberg, 1543.
  3. Selivanov, A.O., Changes in the World Ocean Level in the Pleistocene–Holocene and the Development of Sea Coasts (Moscow: Institute of Water Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 1998) (in Russian).
  4. Fedorov, V.M., “Isotopic and Solar Geochronology and Climatostratigraphy of the Late Pleistocene of Northern Eurasia”, Geomagnetism and Aeronomy 65 (4), 553–563 (2025). DOI: 10.31857/S0016794025040133 (in Russian).
  5. Fedorov, V.M., “Causes of paleoclimatic changes in the Neopleistocene of Northern Eurasia”, Zhizn Zemli [Life of the Earth] 47 (3), 348–358 (2025). DOI: 10.29003/m4740.0514-7468.2025_47_3/348-358 (in Russian).
  6. Flint, R.F., Glacial and Pleistocene Geology. N.Y.: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1957. 553 p.
  7. Berger, A., Loutre, M.F., “Astronomical solutions for paleoclimate studies over the last 3 million years”, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 111, 369–382 (1992).
  8. Broecker, W., Ku, T., “Caribbean cores P6304-8 and P6304-9 new analysis of absolute chronology”, Science 166, 404–406 (1969).
  9. Cheng, H., Springer, G.S., Sinha, A., Hardt, B.F., Yi, L., Li, H., Tian, Y., Li, X., Rowe, H.D., Kathayat, G., Ning, Y., Edwards, R.L., “Eastern North American climate in phase with fall insolation throughout the last three glacial-interglacial cycles”, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 522, 125–134 (2019).
  10. Clark, P.U., Dyke, A.S., Shakun, J.D., Carlson, A.E., Clark, J., Wohlfarth, B., Mitrovica, J.X., Hostetler, S.W., Mc-Cabe, A.M., “The Last Glacial Maximum”, Science 325, 710–714 (2009). DOI: 10.1126/science.1172873.
  11. Duplessy, J.C., Charbit, S., Kageyama, V., Masson-Delmotte, V., “Insolation and sea level variations during Quaternary interglacial periods: A review of recent results with special emphasis on the last interglaciation”, Geoscience 340, 701–710 (2008).
  12. Ericson, B.W., Ewing, M., Soiling, G., “The Pleistocene epoch in deep sea sediments”, Science 146 (3645), 723–732 (1964).
  13. Fairbridge, R.W., “Eustatic changes in sea level”, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 4, 99–185 (1961).
  14. Fedorov, V.M., Frolov, D.M., Velasco Herrera, V.M. et al., “Role of the Radiation Factor in Global Climatic Events of the Late Holocene”, Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 57, 1239–1253 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433821100030/
  15. Harrison, S.P., Sanchez-Goñi, M.F., “Global patterns of vegetation response to mil-lennial-scale variability and rapid climate change during the last glacial period”, Quaternary Science Reviews 29, 2957–2980 (2010).
  16. He, F., Shakun, P.U., Carlson, A.E., Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Kutzbach, J.T., “Northern Hemisphere forcing of Southern Hemisphere climate during the last deglaciation”, Nature 494, 81–85 (2013).
  17. Heinrich, H., “Origin and consequences of cyclic ice rafting in the northeast Atlantic Ocean during the past 130,000 years”, Quaternary Research 29, 142–152 (1988).
  18. Hennig, G.J., Grün, R., Brunnacker, K., “Speleothems, travertines, and paleoclimates”, Quaternary Research 20 (1), 1–29 (1983). DOI: 10.1016/0033-5894(83)90063-7.
  19. Huybers, P., “Antarctica`s orbital beat”, Science 325, 1085–1086 (2009).
  20. Laskar, J., Joutel, F., Boudin, F., “Orbital, precessional and insolation quantities for the Earth from – 20 Myr to + 10 Myr”, Astronomy & Astrophysics 287, 522–533 (1993).
  21. Lisiecki, L.E., Raymo, M.E., “A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic δ18O records”, Paleoceanography 20, PA1003, 1–17 (2005). DOI: 10.1029/2004PA001071.
  22. MÖrner, N.-A., “The Fennoscandian uplift and late Cenozoic Geodynamics: geological evidence”, Geojournal 3, 287–318 (1973).
  23. Ruddiman, W.F., “Orbital changes and climate”, Quaternary Science Reviews 25, 3092–3112 (2006).
  24. Shepard, F.P., “Sea level rise during the past 20.000 years”, Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie 3, 30–35 (1961).
  25. Spratt, R.M., Lisiecki, L.E., “A Late Pleistocene sea level stack”, Clim. Past 12, 1079–1092 (2016).
  26. Tigchelaar, M., Timmermann, A., Pollard, D., Friedrich, T., Heinemann, M. “Local insolation changes enhance Antarctic interglacials: Insights from an 800,000-year ice sheet simulation with transient climate forcing”, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 495, 69–78 (2018).

References

  1. The winters of the world: Earth under the Ice Ages. Ed. by Brian S. John, David and Charles, Newton Abbot, Wiley. 1979.
  2. Copernicus, Nicolaus. De Revolutionibus Orbium Coelestium [On the Revolutions of the Heavenly Spheres]. Norimbergae: apud Ioh. Petreium, Nürnberg, 1543.
  3. Selivanov, A.O., Changes in the World Ocean Level in the Pleistocene–Holocene and the Development of Sea Coasts (Moscow: Institute of Water Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 1998) (in Russian).
  4. Fedorov, V.M., “Isotopic and Solar Geochronology and Climatostratigraphy of the Late Pleistocene of Northern Eurasia”, Geomagnetism and Aeronomy 65 (4), 553–563 (2025). DOI: 10.31857/S0016794025040133 (in Russian).
  5. Fedorov, V.M., “Causes of paleoclimatic changes in the Neopleistocene of Northern Eurasia”, Zhizn Zemli [Life of the Earth] 47 (3), 348–358 (2025). DOI: 10.29003/m4740.0514-7468.2025_47_3/348-358 (in Russian).
  6. Flint, R.F., Glacial and Pleistocene Geology. N.Y.: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 1957. 553 p.
  7. Berger, A., Loutre, M.F., “Astronomical solutions for paleoclimate studies over the last 3 million years”, Earth Planet. Sci. Lett. 111, 369–382 (1992).
  8. Broecker, W., Ku, T., “Caribbean cores P6304-8 and P6304-9 new analysis of absolute chronology”, Science 166, 404–406 (1969).
  9. Cheng, H., Springer, G.S., Sinha, A., Hardt, B.F., Yi, L., Li, H., Tian, Y., Li, X., Rowe, H.D., Kathayat, G., Ning, Y., Edwards, R.L., “Eastern North American climate in phase with fall insolation throughout the last three glacial-interglacial cycles”, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 522, 125–134 (2019).
  10. Clark, P.U., Dyke, A.S., Shakun, J.D., Carlson, A.E., Clark, J., Wohlfarth, B., Mitrovica, J.X., Hostetler, S.W., Mc-Cabe, A.M., “The Last Glacial Maximum”, Science 325, 710–714 (2009). DOI: 10.1126/science.1172873.
  11. Duplessy, J.C., Charbit, S., Kageyama, V., Masson-Delmotte, V., “Insolation and sea level variations during Quaternary interglacial periods: A review of recent results with special emphasis on the last interglaciation”, Geoscience 340, 701–710 (2008).
  12. Ericson, B.W., Ewing, M., Soiling, G., “The Pleistocene epoch in deep sea sediments”, Science 146 (3645), 723–732 (1964).
  13. Fairbridge, R.W., “Eustatic changes in sea level”, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth 4, 99–185 (1961).
  14. Fedorov, V.M., Frolov, D.M., Velasco Herrera, V.M. et al., “Role of the Radiation Factor in Global Climatic Events of the Late Holocene”, Izv. Atmos. Ocean. Phys. 57, 1239–1253 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0001433821100030/
  15. Harrison, S.P., Sanchez-Goñi, M.F., “Global patterns of vegetation response to mil-lennial-scale variability and rapid climate change during the last glacial period”, Quaternary Science Reviews 29, 2957–2980 (2010).
  16. He, F., Shakun, P.U., Carlson, A.E., Liu, Z., Otto-Bliesner, B.L., Kutzbach, J.T., “Northern Hemisphere forcing of Southern Hemisphere climate during the last deglaciation”, Nature 494, 81–85 (2013).
  17. Heinrich, H., “Origin and consequences of cyclic ice rafting in the northeast Atlantic Ocean during the past 130,000 years”, Quaternary Research 29, 142–152 (1988).
  18. Hennig, G.J., Grün, R., Brunnacker, K., “Speleothems, travertines, and paleoclimates”, Quaternary Research 20 (1), 1–29 (1983). DOI: 10.1016/0033-5894(83)90063-7.
  19. Huybers, P., “Antarctica`s orbital beat”, Science 325, 1085–1086 (2009).
  20. Laskar, J., Joutel, F., Boudin, F., “Orbital, precessional and insolation quantities for the Earth from – 20 Myr to + 10 Myr”, Astronomy & Astrophysics 287, 522–533 (1993).
  21. Lisiecki, L.E., Raymo, M.E., “A Pliocene-Pleistocene stack of 57 globally distributed benthic δ18O records”, Paleoceanography 20, PA1003, 1–17 (2005). DOI: 10.1029/2004PA001071.
  22. MÖrner, N.-A., “The Fennoscandian uplift and late Cenozoic Geodynamics: geological evidence”, Geojournal 3, 287–318 (1973).
  23. Ruddiman, W.F., “Orbital changes and climate”, Quaternary Science Reviews 25, 3092–3112 (2006).
  24. Shepard, F.P., “Sea level rise during the past 20.000 years”, Zeitschrift für Geomorphologie 3, 30–35 (1961).
  25. Spratt, R.M., Lisiecki, L.E., “A Late Pleistocene sea level stack”, Clim. Past 12, 1079–1092 (2016).
  26. Tigchelaar, M., Timmermann, A., Pollard, D., Friedrich, T., Heinemann, M. “Local insolation changes enhance Antarctic interglacials: Insights from an 800,000-year ice sheet simulation with transient climate forcing”, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 495, 69–78 (2018).